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There has been extensive discussion about the effect of delay to surgery on mortality in patients sustaining a fracture of the hip. Despite the low level of evidence provided by many studies, a consensus has been accepted that delay of > 48 hours is detrimental to survival. The aim of this prospective observational study was to determine if early surgery confers a survival benefit at 30 days. Between 1989 and 2013, data were prospectively collected on patients sustaining a fracture of the hip at Peterborough City Hospital. They were divided into groups according to the time interval between admission and surgery. These thresholds ranged from < 6 hours to between 49 and 72 hours. The outcome which was assessed was the 30-day mortality. Adjustment for confounders was performed using multivariate binary logistic regression analysis. In all, 6638 patients aged > 60 years were included. Worsening American Society of Anaesthesiologists grade (p < 0.001), increased age (p < 0.001) and extracapsular fracture (p < 0.019) increased the risk of 30-day mortality. Increasing mobility score (p = 0.014), mini mental test score (p < 0.001) and female gender (p = 0.014) improved survival. After adjusting for these confounders, surgery before 12 hours improved survival compared with surgery after 12 hours (p = 0.013). Beyond this the increasing delay to surgery did not significantly affect the 30-day mortality.

Original publication

DOI

10.1302/0301-620X.97B1.35041

Type

Journal article

Journal

Bone joint j

Publication Date

01/2015

Volume

97-B

Pages

104 - 108

Keywords

12 hours, 30-day mortality, ASA grade, Early surgery, Hip fracture, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Analysis of Variance, Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip, Confidence Intervals, Databases, Factual, Emergency Treatment, Female, Fracture Fixation, Internal, Hip Fractures, Hospital Mortality, Humans, Logistic Models, Male, Middle Aged, Odds Ratio, Ontario, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, Radiography, Risk Assessment, Survival Rate, Time Factors, Treatment Outcome