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BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular mortality is increased in patients with seropositive inflammatory polyarthritis (IP). We tested the hypothesis that the increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) can be explained by elevated traditional CVD risk factor levels in persons prior to development of IP. METHODS: In a population-based, prospective nested case-control study, 25 600 people aged 45-75 yr participated in a health survey, including standard CVD risk factor assessment, between the years 1993 and 1997. There were 91 incident IP cases (one-third were seropositive at presentation) identified during follow-up to the end of July 2001. Baseline CVD risk factors in the IP cases were compared with those in two age/gender-matched controls. RESULTS: Current smokers had an odds ratio of 2.0 (95% CI 1.0-4.0) for IP. Other risk factors, including total and LDL cholesterol, systolic and diastolic blood pressure and obesity, did not differ significantly between cases and controls. Importantly, in combination, using a standard coronary disease risk score, these factors only had a modest association with future IP, and no association when analysis was restricted to the smaller number of cases who were seropositive. CONCLUSION: Of the traditional cardiovascular risk factors, only smoking increases CVD risk prior to the onset of IP. Therefore the increased CVD observed in these patients is likely to be a consequence of factors operating after the onset of the arthritis.

Original publication




Journal article


Rheumatology (oxford)

Publication Date





731 - 736


Aged, Arthritis, Cardiovascular Diseases, Epidemiologic Methods, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Obesity, Risk Factors, Smoking