Maria Vazquez Montes
BSc, MSc, PhD
Senior Statistician
Applying modelling strategies to medical research
My current research interest focus on diagnostic, prognostic and risk prediction modelling. I disseminate good practice, create examples of methodologically sound model developments and validations, critically appraise existing models, and apply recent meta-analysis methods to summarize their prediction performance.
Current projects
Recurrent urinary tract infection affects a large number of women impacting their lives, from experiencing severe symptoms to relationship difficulties and systemic illness. I am using big data (Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) and Infections in Oxfordshire Research Database (IORD)) to help improving the diagnosis and management of this condition in women 16 and older.
I am also using CPRD and QResearch data to develop and validate a risk prediction model for incident heart failure, a major public health problem with rising prevalence, particularly in the elderly.
Expertise
I have provided statistical expertise in medical studies in mental health, online learning, ophthalmology, chronic diseases (diabetes, kidney disease, cancer), and heart failure, using a variety of statistical methods (e.g. statistical control process, latent class analysis, multilevel modelling, propensity score methods, survival analysis, meta-analysis).
My teaching experience includes coordinating the online module Introduction to Statistics for Health Care Research on the Oxford Postgraduate Programme in Evidence-Based Health Care, and tutoring for modules in the MSc in EBHC Medical Statistics. I am a non-Stipendiary Lecturer in Human Sciences for St Hugh's College.
Biography
Before joining the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences in 2008, I completed a PhD in Statistics at the University of Warwick (UK), a MSc in Statistics at Centro de Investigación en Matemáticas/Universidad de Guanajuato (Mexico), and a BSc in Mathematics at the Universidad de Yucatan (Mexico).
Recent publications
-
The impact of inter-infection time on antimicrobial resistance profiles in women with multiple urinary tract infections over time.
Journal article
Honda T. et al, (2025), J antimicrob chemother
-
Risk of repeat self-harm among individuals presenting to healthcare services: development and validation of a clinical risk assessment model (OxSET).
Journal article
Fazel S. et al, (2024), Bmj ment health, 27
-
Epidemiology and microbiology of recurrent UTI in women in the community in Oxfordshire, UK.
Journal article
Vazquez-Montes MDLA. et al, (2024), Jac antimicrob resist, 6
-
Risk of death by suicide following self-harm presentations to healthcare: development and validation of a multivariable clinical prediction rule (OxSATS).
Journal article
Fazel S. et al, (2023), Bmj ment health, 26
-
Modifiable risk factors for inpatient violence in psychiatric hospital: prospective study and prediction model
Journal article
Fazel S. et al, (2021), Psychological medicine, 1 - 7