Maria Vazquez Montes
BSc, MSc, PhD
Senior Statistician
Applying modelling strategies to medical research
My current research interest focus on diagnostic, prognostic and risk prediction modelling. I disseminate good practice, create examples of methodologically sound model developments and validations, critically appraise existing models, and apply recent meta-analysis methods to summarize their prediction performance.
Current projects
Recurrent urinary tract infection affects a large number of women impacting their lives, from experiencing severe symptoms to relationship difficulties and systemic illness. I am using big data (Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) and Infections in Oxfordshire Research Database (IORD)) to help improving the diagnosis and management of this condition in women 16 and older.
I am also using CPRD and QResearch data to develop and validate a risk prediction model for incident heart failure, a major public health problem with rising prevalence, particularly in the elderly.
Expertise
I have provided statistical expertise in medical studies in mental health, online learning, ophthalmology, chronic diseases (diabetes, kidney disease, cancer), and heart failure, using a variety of statistical methods (e.g. statistical control process, latent class analysis, multilevel modelling, propensity score methods, survival analysis, meta-analysis).
My teaching experience includes coordinating the online module Introduction to Statistics for Health Care Research on the Oxford Postgraduate Programme in Evidence-Based Health Care, and tutoring for modules in the MSc in EBHC Medical Statistics. I am a non-Stipendiary Lecturer in Human Sciences for St Hugh's College.
Biography
Before joining the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences in 2008, I completed a PhD in Statistics at the University of Warwick (UK), a MSc in Statistics at Centro de Investigación en Matemáticas/Universidad de Guanajuato (Mexico), and a BSc in Mathematics at the Universidad de Yucatan (Mexico).
Recent publications
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Epidemiology and microbiology of recurrent UTI in women in the community in Oxfordshire, UK
Vazquez-Montes M. et al, (2023), Journal of antimicrobial chemotherapy antimicrobial resistance
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Risk of death by suicide following self-harm presentations to healthcare: development and validation of a multivariable clinical prediction rule (OxSATS).
Fazel S. et al, (2023), Bmj ment health, 26
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Modifiable risk factors for inpatient violence in psychiatric hospital: prospective study and prediction model
Fazel S. et al, (2021), Psychological medicine, 1 - 7
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Prognostic models for newly-diagnosed chronic lymphocytic leukaemia in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
Kreuzberger N. et al, (2020), Cochrane database syst rev, 7
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UMBRELLA protocol: systematic reviews of multivariable biomarker prognostic models developed to predict clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure.
Vazquez-Montes MDLA. et al, (2020), Diagn progn res, 4